
Getting to 2050: Canada's Transition to a Low-emission Future — Advice for Long-term Reductions of Greenhouse Gases and Air Pollutants
The overall purpose of this Advisory Report is to respond to a request for advice from the federal government to the National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy (NRTEE), in November 2006, on the question of how deep long-term reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and air pollutants could be achieved. Specifically, this report focuses on the policy options available to Canada to address these issues and on the economic and environmental implications of those options. This report builds upon the findings and research presented in the NRTEE's Interim Report to the Minister of the Environment in June 2007. [3]
A second purpose of this report is to inform the current national debate on climate change as it relates specifically to medium- and long-term GHG and air pollutant emission reduction strategies. Over the past five years, the NRTEE has been examining questions related to the use of fiscal policy to promote long-term GHG emissions reductions, climate change adaptation in the Canadian context, and a long-term technology scenario for how Canada might substantially reduce its GHG emissions. This Advisory Report builds on our recent work, adding to the debate a new view on the design of longer-term climate change policy.
Executive Summary
1 Introduction
1.1 Purpose
1.1.1 Clean Air Act Reference and NRTEE’s Advice
1.1.2 Federal Regulatory Framework and NRTEE’s Reference
1.1.3 Conceptual Framework
1.2 Important Context and Assumptions of the NRTEE’s Greenhouse Gas Advice
1.3 Transition to 2050
2 Managing the Transition to a Low-emission Future
2.1 Enabling Conditions for Managing the Transition
2.1.1 A Note on Our Modelling, Assumptions and Caveats
2.1.2 Canada Acting in Concert with the World
2.1.3 Policy Certainty Beyond the Short Term is Central
2.1.4 An Economy-wide Emission Price with Complementary Policies
2.1.5 Technology Deployment Will Be Imperative
2.1.6 Air Pollutant Reductions and an Integrated Approach
2.2 Understanding the Economic Risk and Uncertainties of the Transition
2.2.1 Long-term National Economic Growth Prospects
2.2.2 Regional and Sectoral Outcomes
2.2.3 The Importance of the Enabling Conditions
3 Key Findings and Recommendations
4 Looking Ahead
5 Appendix
5.1 Letter of Reference from the Minister of Environment
5.2 NRTEE Approach to the Reference
5.3 Glossary
5.4 Research Commissioned by the NRTEE in Support of the Reference
5.5 Key Attributes of the Energy Economy Model – CIMS
5.6 Messages from Regional Meetings Across Canada
5.7 Meeting Participants – NRTEE’s Research on
Clean Air and Climate Change - 2007